Independent Events

When events are independent, multiply their individual probabilities together to find the probability that both events occur.

P(AB)=P(A)P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A)P(B)

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What each symbol means

What Independent Events takes
AA
BB
Independent Events
SymbolMeaning
AAAn event, which is a set of possible outcomes; P(A)P(A) represents the probability of event A occurring, always between 0 and 1 inclusive.
BBA second event, which is a set of possible outcomes; P(B)P(B) represents the probability of event B occurring, and must be independent of A for this formula to apply.

When to use it

Use this when you have two or more events where the outcome of one doesn't affect the probability of the other.

Level

Usually taught in: Algebra II · Appears on: SAT

Worked examples

1. Two fair coin flips

Problem

A fair coin is flipped twice. What is the probability of getting heads on both flips?
  1. P(A)=12,P(B)=12P(A) = \frac{1}{2}, \quad P(B) = \frac{1}{2}

    Let event A be heads on the first flip and event B be heads on the second flip; each outcome has probability 12\frac{1}{2} for a fair coin.

  2. P(AB)=P(A)P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B)

    Since the coin flips are independent, the outcome of the first flip doesn't affect the probability of the second flip, so we apply the multiplication rule.

  3. P(AB)=1212=14P(A \cap B) = \frac{1}{2} \cdot \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{4}

    Multiply the fractions: 12×12=14\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{4}.

Answer: 14\frac{1}{4}

Coin flips are independent events because the result of one flip has no effect on the next flip. To find the probability that both flips land on heads, we multiply their individual probabilities. This result makes intuitive sense: out of four equally likely outcomes (HH, HT, TH, TT), only one is both heads, giving 14\frac{1}{4}.

2. Multiplying fractional probabilities

Problem

Events A and B are independent. The probability of event A is 37\frac{3}{7}, and the probability of event B is 25\frac{2}{5}. Find P(AB)P(A \cap B).
  1. P(A)=37,P(B)=25P(A) = \frac{3}{7}, \quad P(B) = \frac{2}{5}

    We are given that A and B are independent events with these specific probabilities.

  2. P(AB)=P(A)P(B)=3725P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B) = \frac{3}{7} \cdot \frac{2}{5}

    For independent events, apply the multiplication rule: multiply P(A)P(A) by P(B)P(B).

  3. 3725=3275=635\frac{3}{7} \cdot \frac{2}{5} = \frac{3 \cdot 2}{7 \cdot 5} = \frac{6}{35}

    Multiply the numerators: 3×2=63 \times 2 = 6; multiply the denominators: 7×5=357 \times 5 = 35. The fraction 635\frac{6}{35} is already in simplest form.

Answer: 635\frac{6}{35}

When working with fractions, the multiplication rule works exactly the same way. Multiply numerators together and denominators together. This example shows that independent events with fractional probabilities are treated no differently than those with decimal or simple probabilities.

3. Garden dimensions (word problem)

Problem

A rectangular garden plot is being fenced. Based on available materials, the probability that the width will be at least 10 feet is 0.6, and the probability that the length will be at least 20 feet is 0.8. Assuming the width and length are determined independently, what is the probability that both the width is at least 10 feet AND the length is at least 20 feet?
  1. A=width10 ft,P(A)=0.6A = \text{width} \geq 10 \text{ ft}, \quad P(A) = 0.6

    Event A is the width being at least 10 feet, which has probability 0.60.6.

  2. B=length20 ft,P(B)=0.8B = \text{length} \geq 20 \text{ ft}, \quad P(B) = 0.8

    Event B is the length being at least 20 feet, which has probability 0.80.8.

  3. P(AB)=P(A)×P(B)=0.6×0.8=0.48P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B) = 0.6 \times 0.8 = 0.48

    Width and length are independent dimensions of the garden, so we multiply: 0.6×0.8=0.480.6 \times 0.8 = 0.48.

Answer: 0.48 or 12250.48 \text{ or } \frac{12}{25}

In real-world problems, identify whether events are independent by asking if one outcome affects the other. A garden's width and length are truly independent—deciding on a width doesn't change the probability of meeting a length requirement. Once you confirm independence, multiply the probabilities using the formula.

Common mistakes

Where Independent Events usually goes wrong
Answer came out wrong
Writing P(AB)=0P(A \cap B) = 0 for independent events because 'independent means they can't both happen.'
For independent events, use P(AB)=P(A)×P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B), which is positive when both individual probabilities are positive. Keep independence separate from mutual exclusivity (which DOES mean P(AB)=0P(A \cap B) = 0).
Using P(AB)=P(A)×P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B) when drawing cards without replacement.
For dependent events, use P(AB)=P(A)×P(BA)P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B | A), where P(BA)P(B | A) is the conditional probability of B given that A already happened.
Adding the probabilities instead of multiplying: P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A) + P(B).
Use multiplication for both events happening (intersection): P(AB)=P(A)×P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B). Use addition for at least one happening (union) only for mutually exclusive events: P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B).
The mistakeWhy it is wrongThe fix
Writing P(AB)=0P(A \cap B) = 0 for independent events because 'independent means they can't both happen.'Independence means one event's outcome doesn't affect the other's probability; it has nothing to do with whether both can happen simultaneously.For independent events, use P(AB)=P(A)×P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B), which is positive when both individual probabilities are positive. Keep independence separate from mutual exclusivity (which DOES mean P(AB)=0P(A \cap B) = 0).
Using P(AB)=P(A)×P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B) when drawing cards without replacement.Drawing without replacement makes events dependent: the second card's probabilities change after the first is drawn, so you can't use the original P(B)P(B).For dependent events, use P(AB)=P(A)×P(BA)P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B | A), where P(BA)P(B | A) is the conditional probability of B given that A already happened.
Adding the probabilities instead of multiplying: P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A) + P(B).Addition applies to the union (A OR B) for mutually exclusive events, not to the intersection (A AND B).Use multiplication for both events happening (intersection): P(AB)=P(A)×P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B). Use addition for at least one happening (union) only for mutually exclusive events: P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B).

Tips and when to use something else

  • Think of independent events as separate processes—like flipping different coins or rolling different dice—where one outcome has no influence on the other.
  • If the problem involves drawing without replacement, selecting cards from a shrinking deck, or any scenario where one event changes the conditions for the next, those events are dependent; use conditional probability P(BA)P(B | A) instead.
  • Don't mix up the Multiplication Rule for Independent Events with the Addition Rule; use multiplication for 'both' (ABA \cap B) and addition for 'at least one' (ABA \cup B) with mutually exclusive events.
  • Always verify independence from the problem statement or context before applying this formula; if uncertain, check whether the probability of the second event changes based on the outcome of the first.

Frequently asked questions

Are independent events the same as mutually exclusive events?
No, they are opposites. Independent events can both happen, with one outcome not affecting the other's probability—like two separate coin flips. Mutually exclusive events cannot both happen at the same time—like drawing a single card that is either a heart or a spade. For independent events, use P(AB)=P(A)×P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B); for mutually exclusive events, P(AB)=0P(A \cap B) = 0.
What if a problem doesn't say whether events are independent?
Usually, the problem will explicitly state that events are independent, or you should infer it from context (separate coin flips, different rolls of a die, draws with replacement). If you're uncertain, ask yourself: does the outcome of the first event change the probability of the second event? If no, they're likely independent; if yes, use conditional probability instead.
Can you multiply the probabilities of more than two independent events?
Yes, absolutely. If events A, B, and C are mutually independent, then P(ABC)=P(A)×P(B)×P(C)P(A \cap B \cap C) = P(A) \times P(B) \times P(C). You can extend this to any number of independent events by multiplying all their individual probabilities together.
What does the symbol \cap mean in P(AB)P(A \cap B)?
The symbol \cap is called 'intersection' and represents 'and'—it means both events occur. So P(AB)P(A \cap B) is the probability that A happens AND B happens at the same time. This is different from P(AB)P(A \cup B), which uses 'union' (\cup) and means 'or'—at least one event occurs.

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Reviewed 2026-09-18