Empirical Rule

The Empirical Rule describes where approximately 68%, 95%, and 99.7% of normally distributed data fall, measured in standard deviations from the mean.

68% within 1σ,;95% within 2σ,;99.7% within 3σ68\% \text{ within } 1\sigma, ; 95\% \text{ within } 2\sigma, ; 99.7\% \text{ within } 3\sigma

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What each symbol means

What Empirical Rule takes
σ\sigma
Empirical Rule
SymbolMeaning
σ\sigmaSigma represents the standard deviation, a measure of spread (in the same units as your data); confusing it with the mean μ or variance σ² destroys the calculation.

When to use it

Reach for the Empirical Rule when you have normally distributed data and want to quickly estimate what fraction of values lie within a specified distance of the mean.

Level

Usually taught in: Statistics · Appears on: AP Statistics

Worked examples

1. Estimate data within 1 standard deviation

Problem

A dataset of measurements is approximately normally distributed with mean 50 and standard deviation 5. What percentage of data falls between 45 and 55?
  1. 45=50545 = 50 - 5

    The lower boundary is exactly one standard deviation below the mean.

  2. 55=50+555 = 50 + 5

    The upper boundary is exactly one standard deviation above the mean.

  3. 5=1σ5 = 1 \cdot \sigma

    Both boundaries sit at distance 1σ1\sigma from the center, so the range is μ±1σ\mu \pm 1\sigma.

Answer: 68%68\%

The interval [45, 55] is symmetric about the mean and spans exactly μ1σ\mu - 1\sigma to μ+1σ\mu + 1\sigma. The Empirical Rule directly gives us 68% without further calculation.

2. Find percentage of data outside a range

Problem

Test scores are approximately normally distributed with mean 72 and standard deviation 8. What percentage of scores fall outside the range 56 to 88?
  1. 56=721656 = 72 - 16

    The lower bound is 16 points below the mean.

  2. 88=72+1688 = 72 + 16

    The upper bound is 16 points above the mean.

  3. 16÷8=216 \div 8 = 2

    Dividing by the standard deviation shows both bounds are 2σ2\sigma from the mean.

  4. 95% within 2σ95\% \text{ within } 2\sigma

    The Empirical Rule says 95% of data falls within 2σ2\sigma of the mean.

  5. 100%95%=5%100\% - 95\% = 5\%

    Subtract to find the percentage lying outside the given range.

Answer: 5%5\%

This problem asks for the 'outside' percentage, which requires an extra step: first apply the rule to find what's inside (95%), then subtract from 100%. Many students forget this final subtraction.

3. Determine normal distribution percentages in a ticket pricing scenario

Problem

A concert venue sells general admission and VIP tickets. General admission prices are approximately normally distributed with mean $85 and standard deviation $3, while VIP prices have mean $150 and standard deviation $6. What percentage of general admission tickets should be priced between $79 and $91?
  1. GA: μ=85,  σ=3\text{GA: } \mu = 85, \; \sigma = 3

    Focus on the general admission tickets, noting the mean and standard deviation.

  2. 79=85679 = 85 - 6

    Calculate how far the lower price is from the mean.

  3. 91=85+691 = 85 + 6

    Calculate how far the upper price is from the mean.

  4. 6÷3=26 \div 3 = 2

    Dividing each distance by σ=3\sigma = 3 shows both boundaries are 2σ2\sigma from the mean.

  5. 95%95\%

    The Empirical Rule tells us that 95% of data falls within 2σ2\sigma of the mean.

Answer: 95%95\%

The problem mentions both ticket types to add context, but only GA prices matter for this question. Recognizing that [79,79,91] = [852(3),85+2(3)][85 - 2(3), 85 + 2(3)] means applying the 2σ2\sigma rule directly. The VIP information is a distractor.

Common mistakes

Where Empirical Rule usually goes wrong
Answer came out wrong
Treating the Empirical Rule percentages as exact rather than approximate.
Remember the rule uses 'approximately': ~68%, ~95%, ~99.7%. For precise probabilities, use the normal distribution calculator or z-tables.
Applying the Empirical Rule to skewed or non-normal data.
Always check that your data is approximately normal first (using a histogram, Q-Q plot, or normality test). If not normal, use Chebyshev's inequality instead, which works for any distribution shape.
Confusing 'within 1σ1\sigma' with 'a range of width 1σ1\sigma'.
Write it out carefully: from μ1σ\mu - 1\sigma to μ+1σ\mu + 1\sigma is a distance of (μ+σ)(μσ)=2σ(\mu + \sigma) - (\mu - \sigma) = 2\sigma, not σ\sigma.
The mistakeWhy it is wrongThe fix
Treating the Empirical Rule percentages as exact rather than approximate.The rule derives from observed behavior in real data, not from a strict formula; the actual percentages vary slightly depending on how close the distribution is to perfectly normal.Remember the rule uses 'approximately': ~68%, ~95%, ~99.7%. For precise probabilities, use the normal distribution calculator or z-tables.
Applying the Empirical Rule to skewed or non-normal data.The rule only works when data has a bell-shaped (normal) distribution; if data is skewed left, right, or has heavy tails, these percentages will be incorrect.Always check that your data is approximately normal first (using a histogram, Q-Q plot, or normality test). If not normal, use Chebyshev's inequality instead, which works for any distribution shape.
Confusing 'within 1σ1\sigma' with 'a range of width 1σ1\sigma'.Students sometimes think the interval [μσ,μ+σ][\mu - \sigma, \mu + \sigma] has width σ\sigma, when it actually spans a width of 2σ2\sigma.Write it out carefully: from μ1σ\mu - 1\sigma to μ+1σ\mu + 1\sigma is a distance of (μ+σ)(μσ)=2σ(\mu + \sigma) - (\mu - \sigma) = 2\sigma, not σ\sigma.

Tips and when to use something else

  • The Empirical Rule is a quick estimation tool: once you identify a mean and standard deviation for approximately normal data, you can instantly estimate what fraction of data lies in any 1σ1\sigma, 2σ2\sigma, or 3σ3\sigma band without a calculator.
  • Use Chebyshev's inequality as a fallback when your data is not normally distributed; it gives broader (more conservative) bounds that work for any distribution shape.
  • The rule becomes unreliable beyond 3σ3\sigma: roughly 99.7% of data falls within 3σ3\sigma, leaving only 0.3% in both tails combined, so claims about 4σ4\sigma or 5σ5\sigma should be treated with skepticism unless you have a very large dataset.
  • Practice the rule with real-world data like SAT/ACT scores, heights, or weights—these tend to be nearly normal, making the 68-95-99.7 percentages obvious when you plot them.

Frequently asked questions

Is the Empirical Rule the same as the 68-95-99.7 rule?
Yes; 'Empirical Rule' is the technical name, while '68-95-99.7 rule' is the nickname that describes the three main percentages. They refer to exactly the same concept.
Can I use the Empirical Rule even if my data isn't perfectly normal?
Yes, as long as your data is approximately normal (roughly bell-shaped, not heavily skewed). For data that is visibly non-normal, Chebyshev's inequality is safer and will give you bounds that definitely hold.
Does 'within 1σ1\sigma' include the exact values at μ1σ\mu - 1\sigma and μ+1σ\mu + 1\sigma?
Yes, 'within 1σ1\sigma' means the closed interval from μσ\mu - \sigma to μ+σ\mu + \sigma inclusive, including both endpoints. In practice, for continuous data, whether you include the boundaries makes almost no difference to the percentage.
Can I use the Empirical Rule to find the probability that a single value falls in a certain range?
Yes, exactly. If your data follows a normal distribution, the percentages from the Empirical Rule tell you the probability; for instance, the probability that a randomly selected observation falls within 1σ1\sigma of the mean is approximately 68%.

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Reviewed 2026-09-18